Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina CharaevaHamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · WTA · Round of 32
#205WTA
1664ELO
1651Clay ELO
29 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
M2 · 3rd on
#113WTA
1694ELO
1652Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLW
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-3 5-7 1-6
Charaeva A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6511
Charaeva A.
3762

Alina Charaeva defeated Sara Sorribes Tormo in the Round of 32 at the Hamburg clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-5, 6-1 in favor of Charaeva. Charaeva hit 0 aces and 8 double faults, while Sorribes Tormo had 2 aces and 3 double faults; Charaeva converted 53% of break points and won 10 service breaks, compared to Sorribes Tormo's 40% conversion rate and 8 service breaks.

Around the match

  • Slowly regaining her confidence on clay after mental health struggles in the second half of last season.

    Sorribes Tormo S.Last Word On Sports
  • Charaeva mounted a dramatic comeback against Sorribes Tormo, saving three match points to secure a notable victory.

    Charaeva A.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
75%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.5
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
36
56
Break points saved·Dominant
1
75
Break points won·Clear edge
98
85
Deciding sets·Even
73
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
3
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Sorribes Tormo S.42%
Charaeva A.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1651
Surface ELO
5.0+1 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1664
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.17 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
85

Sorribes Tormo S.: 19 days rest · Charaeva A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw