Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Marco TrungellitiKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 32
#51ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$779kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
GRANDSTAND · 1st on
#91ATP
1627ELO
1621Clay ELO
$400kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWLL
Cerundolo J.
2-6 1-6
Trungelliti M.
Cerundolo J.
210
Trungelliti M.
662

Marco Trungelliti defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Round of 32 at Kitzbuhel, advancing with a 6-2, 6-1 victory on clay. Trungelliti hit two aces and seven double faults, converting 50% of break points and winning 68% of first-serve points. He secured four service breaks to Cerundolo's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
4.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
76
23
Break points saved·Even
80
78
Break points won·Dominant
71
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
42
Tiebreaks·Dominant
78
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Cerundolo J.76%
Trungelliti M.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cerundolo J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+141 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 1621
7.0Overall Elo 1790
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1627
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.58 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
61

Cerundolo J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Trungelliti M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw