Gonzalo Bueno vs Tiago Pereira — Estoril Round of 32

Estoril · ATP · Round of 32
PERQ
Gonzalo Bueno
#178ATP
1491ELO
1469Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT CASCAIS · 1st on
PORWC
Tiago Pereira
#349ATP
1179ELO
1200Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Bueno G.
6-3 1-6 7-6
Pereira T.
Bueno G.
61772
Pereira T.
36651

Gonzalo Bueno defeated Tiago Pereira in the Round of 32 at the Estoril tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 1-6, 7-6 in favor of Bueno. Despite converting a lower percentage of break points and service breaks, Bueno secured the win.

Key context

  • Match story: Gonzalo Bueno closed it out in three sets, 6–3 1–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Bueno G.Pereira T.
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
59%
47%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Bueno G.87%
Pereira T.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bueno G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bueno G.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Pereira T.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+269 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Clay Elo 1200
8.9Overall Elo 1491
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1179
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.13 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bueno G.Pereira T.
Freshness·Clear edge
80
99

Bueno G.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Pereira T.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw