Yuta Shimizu vs Liam Broady — Winnipeg Round of 32

Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
JPNALT
Yuta Shimizu
#393ATP
1446ELO
1417Hard ELO
27 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 4th on
Liam Broady
GBR5
Liam Broady
#201ATP
1590ELO
1577Hard ELO
$89kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLL
Shimizu Y.
6-2 7-5
Broady L.
Shimizu Y.
672
Broady L.
250

Yuta Shimizu defeated Liam Broady in the Round of 32 at the Winnipeg hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 7-5 in favor of Shimizu.

Key context

  • Match story: Yuta Shimizu closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Shimizu Y.Broady L.
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
56%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Shimizu Y.Broady L.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
22
40
Break points saved·Slight edge
65
74
Break points won·Slight edge
9
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
27
77
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
59
46

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Shimizu Y.20%
Broady L.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Broady L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Shimizu Y.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Broady L.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1417
Surface ELO
7.0+160 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1446
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1590
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Shimizu Y.Broady L.
Freshness·Slight edge
86
95

Shimizu Y.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Broady L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw