Justin Boulais vs Johannus Monday — Winnipeg Round of 32

Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Justin Boulais
CANWC
Justin Boulais
#398ATP
1352ELO
1326Hard ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 4th on
GBR
Johannus Monday
#312ATP
1443ELO
1418Hard ELO
24 yrs · 198 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Boulais J.
7-5 2-6 5-7
Monday J.
Boulais J.
7251
Monday J.
5672

Johannus Monday defeated Justin Boulais in the Round of 32 of the Winnipeg hard-court tournament. The match went the full three sets, with Monday ultimately prevailing 5-7, 6-2, 7-5.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Boulais J.Monday J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
71%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Boulais J.32%
Monday J.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Monday J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Boulais J.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Monday J.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1326
Surface ELO
6.1+91 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1352
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1443
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Boulais J.Monday J.
Freshness·Even
83
80

Boulais J.: played today · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Monday J.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw