Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Taro Daniel

Estoril · ATP · Round of 32

ESP

Daniel Merida Aguilar

#40ATP

1744ELO

1700Clay ELO

21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLWWWWLW

—

Sets

Cancelled

Tuesday, 21 July 2026 · 13:30

clay

COURT CASCAIS · 2nd on

JPNQ

Taro Daniel

#186ATP

1567ELO

1542Clay ELO

$64kYTD

$5.1MCAREER

33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWWWWLWWLW

Merida Aguilar D.

Daniel T.

The Estoril round of 32 between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Taro Daniel was cancelled. Cancellations usually follow weather, a scheduling change, or a withdrawal.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Merida Aguilar D.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Daniel T.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Merida Aguilar D.Daniel T.

Serve

—

Return

—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Merida Aguilar D.Daniel T.

1st serve in·Even

67%

64%

1st serve points won·Even

66%

68%

2nd serve points won·Even

50%

53%

Service points won·Even

61%

62%

Return points won·Even

41%

40%

Break points saved·Slight edge

56%

66%

Aces / match·Clear edge

2.3

3.9

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.6

1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Merida Aguilar D.Daniel T.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Clear edge

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Even

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC

Merida Aguilar D.77%

Daniel T.23%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Merida Aguilar D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Merida Aguilar D.

7.6

Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score

Daniel T.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

7.0+158 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.0Clay Elo 1542

7.2Overall Elo 1744

ELO gap

2.8Overall Elo 1567

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

9.19 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

7.88 of last 10 on clay

9.05-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Merida Aguilar D.Daniel T.

Freshness·Even

Merida Aguilar D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Slowlow bounce, long rallies

SlowFast

Weather

23°CPartly cloudy

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 71%

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Taro Daniel — Estoril Round of 32

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on clay

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on clay