Federica Urgesi vs Elizara YanevaPalermo Round of 32

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#282WTA
1546ELO
1532Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRALE · 2nd on
#170WTA
1549ELO
1497Clay ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Urgesi F.
5-7 7-6 6-1
Yaneva E.
Urgesi F.
57762
Yaneva E.
76211

Federica Urgesi defeated Elizara Yaneva in the Round of 32 at the Palermo tournament on clay, 5-7, 7-6, 6-1. Urgesi served four aces to Yaneva's one and hit three double faults to Yaneva's eight. Urgesi won 66 percent of her first serves and converted 55 percent of her break points, while Yaneva converted 62 percent of her break points.

Around the match

  • Dramatic comeback victory from 5-7 2-4 down against seeded prospect Yaneva, showing exceptional mental strength to win 5-7 7-6 6-1.

    Urgesi F.palermoladiesopen.it· 2026-07-21

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Urgesi F.54%
Yaneva E.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+35 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1497
5.0Overall Elo 1546
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1549
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Yaneva E.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw