Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navone — Kitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 32
Alexandre Muller
FRAWC
Alexandre Muller
#136ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
Mariano Navone
ARG
Mariano Navone
#44ATP
1822ELO
1800Clay ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
Muller A.
4-6 0-6
Navone M.
Muller A.
400
Navone M.
662

Mariano Navone defeated Alexandre Muller in the Round of 32 at Kitzbuhel, winning 6-4, 6-0 on clay. Navone hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, while Muller had 0 of each. Navone converted 45% of his break points and broke Muller's serve 5 times, compared to Muller's 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Muller A.Navone M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Muller A.Navone M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
49
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
77
Break points won·Dominant
46
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
17
Tiebreaks·Even
84
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Muller A.24%
Navone M.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Navone M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Muller A.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Navone M.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1628
Surface ELO
7.1+172 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1664
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.61 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.36 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 10
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Muller A.Navone M.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
83

Muller A.: 16 days rest · Navone M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
17°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw