Jule Niemeier vs Elena MalyginaHamburg Qualifying Final

Hamburg · WTA · Qualifying Final
#405WTA
1418ELO
1398Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#314WTA
1378ELO
1270Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWL
Niemeier J.
6-4 4-6 6-1
Malygina E.
Niemeier J.
6462
Malygina E.
4611

Jule Niemeier won the Hamburg final on clay, defeating Elena Malygina 6-4, 4-6, 6-1. Niemeier hit 4 aces and 11 double faults, while converting 54% of her break points and winning 55% of her first-serve points. Malygina had 1 ace and 3 double faults, converting 31% of her break points and winning 46% of her first-serve points; she had 5 service breaks to Niemeier's 7.

Around the match

  • It's always great fun to play here. A lot has happened, but I think we've reached a point where we're starting to understand things and find solutions.

    Niemeier J.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-20

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Jule Niemeier came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
47%
46%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
10.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Niemeier J.57%
Malygina E.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.6+129 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1270
5.5Overall Elo 1418
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1378
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw