Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick HanfmannKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 32
#171ATP
1621ELO
1598Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$576kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#55ATP
1781ELO
1741Clay ELO
$608kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Neumayer L.
6-7 4-6
Hanfmann Y.
Neumayer L.
6540
Hanfmann Y.
7762

Yannick Hanfmann defeated Lukas Neumayer in the Round of 32 at Kitzbuhel, advancing with a 7-6, 6-4 victory on clay. Hanfmann hit 16 aces to Neumayer's 5 and converted 67% of his break points, compared to Neumayer's 50%. Hanfmann won 91% of his first-serve points, securing two service breaks to Neumayer's one.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21KitzbuhelR32clayYannick Hanfmann7-5 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.8
8.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
40
46
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
90
Break points won·Dominant
62
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Neumayer L.32%
Hanfmann Y.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hanfmann Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1598
Surface ELO
6.8+143 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1621
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1781
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
4.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
86

Neumayer L.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Hanfmann Y.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw