Yi Zhou vs Michael Geerts — Segovia Round of 32

Segovia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
CHN6
Yi Zhou
#244ATP
1456ELO
1445Hard ELO
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA 2 · 3rd on
Michael Geerts
BEL
Michael Geerts
#348ATP
1400ELO
1383Hard ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLLLW
Zhou Y.
6-1 6-4
Geerts M.
Zhou Y.
662
Geerts M.
140

Yi Zhou defeated Michael Geerts in the Round of 32 of the Segovia tournament, winning 6-1, 6-4 on hard courts. Zhou hit 9 aces to Geerts' 2 and converted 75% of his break points, compared to Geerts' 0%. Zhou won 87% of his first-serve points to Geerts' 62%, and secured 3 service breaks to Geerts' 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Zhou Y.Geerts M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.3
5.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Zhou Y.Geerts M.
Clutch Rating·Even
13
9
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
82
Break points won·Slight edge
13
3
Deciding sets·Slight edge
1
8
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
14
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Zhou Y.67%
Geerts M.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zhou Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zhou Y.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Geerts M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+62 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1383
5.7Overall Elo 1456
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Zhou Y.Geerts M.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
86

Zhou Y.: 21 days rest · Geerts M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 9%

Draw