Juan Pablo Varillas vs Alexander Donski — Zug Qualifying Final
Varillas J.
Alexander Donski won the final of the Zug tournament on clay, defeating Juan Pablo Varillas 7-5, 6-3. Donski hit 11 aces to Varillas' 1 and converted 75% of his break points, compared to Varillas' 14%. Donski won 3 service breaks to Varillas' 1 and had a higher first-serve win percentage, 74% to 58%.
Key context
- Match story: Alexander Donski closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Varillas J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadVarillas J.: 18 days rest · Donski A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About