Mili Poljicak vs Mika BrunoldZug Qualifying Final

Zug · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#264ATP
1471ELO
1442Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
REDCOMET ARENA · 1st on
#423ATP
1466ELO
1407Clay ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLLLL
Poljicak M.
2-6 6-3 3-6
Brunold M.
Poljicak M.
2631
Brunold M.
6362

Mika Brunold won the final of the Zug tournament, defeating Mili Poljicak 6-2, 3-6, 6-3. Brunold hit 7 aces and 5 double faults, winning 71 percent of first-serve points and converting 22 percent of break points. Poljicak had 9 aces and 4 double faults, winning 70 percent of first-serve points and converting 29 percent of break points; he secured 2 service breaks to Brunold's 4.

Key context

  • Match story: Mika Brunold closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
56%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
23
24
Break points saved·Slight edge
77
72
Break points won·Slight edge
7
15
Deciding sets·Slight edge
13
3
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
69
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Poljicak M.56%
Brunold M.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+35 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1407
5.1Overall Elo 1471
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1466
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Poljicak M.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw