Daniel Elahi Galan vs Gilles Arnaud BaillyTampere Round of 32

Tampere · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#272ATP
1531ELO
1492Clay ELO
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#230ATP
1476ELO
1438Clay ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLLL
Elahi Galan D.
6-7 2-6
Arnaud Bailly G.
Elahi Galan D.
6420
Arnaud Bailly G.
7762

Gilles Arnaud Bailly defeated Daniel Elahi Galan in the Round of 32 at the Tampere clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-2 in favor of Bailly. Bailly hit one ace and one double fault, while Galan had none of either; Bailly converted 33% of break points and won two service breaks to Galan's zero.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Elahi Galan D.57%
Arnaud Bailly G.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+54 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1438
5.7Overall Elo 1530
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1476
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.22 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
79

Elahi Galan D.: 7 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Arnaud Bailly G.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw