Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van AsscheEstoril Round of 32

Estoril · ATP · Round of 32
#231ATP
1468ELO
1404Clay ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
ESTADIO MILLENNIUM · 3rd on
#54ATP
1701ELO
1639Clay ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Ferreira Silva F.
5-7 7-6 1-6
Van Assche L.
Ferreira Silva F.
57711
Van Assche L.
76462

Luca Van Assche defeated Frederico Ferreira Silva in the Round of 32 at the Estoril tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 6-7, 6-1 in favor of Van Assche. He hit 6 aces and 5 double faults, while Ferreira Silva had 3 aces and 2 double faults; Van Assche converted 44% of break points and broke Ferreira Silva's serve 8 times, compared to Ferreira Silva's 5 breaks and 42% conversion rate.

Key context

  • Match story: Luca Van Assche came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–7 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
34
31
Break points saved·Even
80
77
Break points won·Clear edge
26
7
Deciding sets·Slight edge
56
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Ferreira Silva F.19%
Van Assche L.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Van Assche L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Clay Elo 1404
Surface ELO
7.9+234 Clay Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1468
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1701
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.02 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
81

Ferreira Silva F.: 19 days rest · Van Assche L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw