Mert Alkaya vs Juan Pablo FicovichSegovia Round of 32

Segovia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#298ATP
1358ELO
1337Hard ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA 1 · 3rd on
#350ATP
1415ELO
1419Hard ELO
$100kYTD
$984kCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Alkaya M.
6-3 6-4
Ficovich J.
Alkaya M.
662
Ficovich J.
340

Mert Alkaya defeated Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 32 of the Segovia tournament. Alkaya hit 5 aces and 3 double faults, winning 82% of his first serves and converting 33% of break points. He broke Ficovich's serve twice and did not drop his own serve.

Key context

  • Match story: Mert Alkaya closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
71%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.7
4.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Alkaya M.37%
Ficovich J.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ficovich J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1337
Surface ELO
6.0+82 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1358
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1415
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.13 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
89

Alkaya M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Ficovich J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 9%

Draw