Yufei Ren vs Miriana TonaPalermo Qualifying Final

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#332WTA
1361ELO
1351Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRALE · 2nd on
#355WTA
1275ELO
1251Clay ELO
31 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLW
Ren Y.
6-0 6-3
Tona M.
Ren Y.
662
Tona M.
030

Yufei Ren won the final of the Palermo tournament, defeating Miriana Tona 6-0, 6-3 on clay. Ren hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, winning 70% of her first serves and converting 43% of break points. She broke Tona's serve 6 times, while Tona converted 33% of her break points and broke Ren's serve once.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
1.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Ren Y.68%
Tona M.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ren Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+100 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1251
6.1Overall Elo 1361
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1275
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw