Pedro Martinez vs Timofey SkatovEstoril Qualifying Final

Estoril · ATP · Qualifying Final
#151ATP
1580ELO
1550Clay ELO
$338kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
ESTADIO MILLENNIUM · 2nd on
#149ATP
1544ELO
1531Clay ELO
$110kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWLW
Martinez P.
6-3 6-2
Skatov T.
Martinez P.
662
Skatov T.
320

Pedro Martinez won the Estoril final, defeating Timofey Skatov 6-3, 6-2. Martinez did not hit an ace and did not commit a double fault, while Skatov had one ace and three double faults. Martinez converted 57% of his break points and broke Skatov's serve four times, compared to Skatov's zero service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-19EstorilQFclayPedro Martinez6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
18
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
77
Break points won·Clear edge
36
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
5
Tiebreaks·Dominant
42
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Martinez P.51%
Skatov T.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+19 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1531
5.5Overall Elo 1580
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1544
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Martinez P.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Skatov T.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw