Elena Malygina vs Lisa ZaarHamburg Qualifying Semi-final

Hamburg · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#314WTA
1378ELO
1270Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
M2 · 1st on
#339WTA
1527ELO
1499Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLLLW
Malygina E.
6-2 6-4
Zaar L.
Malygina E.
662
Zaar L.
240

Elena Malygina defeated Lisa Zaar in the Hamburg semifinals, advancing with a 6-2, 6-4 victory on clay. Malygina converted all 6 of her break points, compared to Zaar's 3 out of 4, and won 70% of her first serves to 49% for Zaar. Malygina secured 6 service breaks to Zaar's 3 en route to the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
62%
80%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
53%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
0.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Malygina E.22%
Zaar L.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zaar L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Clay Elo 1270
Surface ELO
7.9+229 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1378
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1527
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw