Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria Sakkari — Athens Final

Athens · WTA · Final
Barbora Krejcikova
CZE3
Barbora Krejcikova
#26WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
Maria Sakkari
GRE4
Maria Sakkari
#32WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$15MCAREER
31 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
Krejcikova B.
7-6 6-3
Sakkari M.
Krejcikova B.
7762
Sakkari M.
6530

Barbora Krejcikova won the Athens final, defeating Maria Sakkari 7-6, 6-3. Krejcikova and Sakkari each converted 100% of their break points, with Krejcikova securing three service breaks to Sakkari's two. Krejcikova served two aces to Sakkari's five and posted a 71% first-serve win percentage to Sakkari's 68%.

Around the match

  • “It's been a huge privilege to be here with you today at such a historic moment for you. Playing in front of the home crowd is something very, very special.”

    Krejcikova B.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “It's great. It's something very special and incredible, and it's a unique experience, because I didn't feel like this for such a long period. I'm just very happy.”

    Krejcikova B.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “I never thought that I would be standing here today, playing in front of this crowd. You made me a player. You made this career possible, so thank you.”

    Sakkari M.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

3–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-05-31Roland GarrosSFclayBarbora Krejcikova7-5 4-6 9-7
2021-03-07DubaiR64hardBarbora Krejcikova6-2 7-6
2014-06-30Torun 25KFclayBarbora Krejcikova6-4 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Krejcikova B.Sakkari M.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Krejcikova B.Sakkari M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
78
Break points won·Even
94
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Krejcikova B.62%
Sakkari M.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Krejcikova B. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Krejcikova B.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Sakkari M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+24 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1796
5.8Overall Elo 1874
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1812
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Krejcikova B.Sakkari M.
Freshness·Even
83
79

Krejcikova B.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw