Arantxa Rus vs Ekaterina KazionovaHamburg Qualifying Semi-final

Hamburg · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#206WTA
1511ELO
1500Clay ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
M1 · 2nd on
#463WTA
1375ELO
1358Clay ELO
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWLW
Rus A.
6-4 6-0
Kazionova E.
Rus A.
662
Kazionova E.
400

Arantxa Rus defeated Ekaterina Kazionova in the Hamburg semifinals, winning 6-4, 6-0 on clay. Rus hit one ace and two double faults, converting 50% of her break points and winning 53% of her first-serve points. She broke Kazionova's serve seven times, compared to Kazionova's three breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
43%
Service points won·Even
53%
51%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Rus A.68%
Kazionova E.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Rus A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+142 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 1358
6.7Overall Elo 1511
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1374
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.02 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw