Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashka — Pozoblanco Final

Pozoblanco · CHALLENGER · Final
LUX1
Chris Rodesch
#153ATP
1622ELO
1623Hard ELO
$163kYTD
$424kCAREER
25 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA FABIAN DORADO · 1st on
Ilya Ivashka
BLRQ
Ilya Ivashka
#374ATP
1538ELO
1509Hard ELO
32 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
Rodesch C.
6-4 2-6 7-6
Ivashka I.
Rodesch C.
62772
Ivashka I.
46651

Chris Rodesch won the Pozoblanco hard-court final, defeating Ilya Ivashka 6-4, 2-6, 7-6. Rodesch hit 5 aces and 4 double faults, winning 65% of first-serve points and converting 25% of break points. Ivashka had 7 aces, 5 double faults, 76% of first-serve points won, and 50% of break points converted.

Key context

  • Match story: Chris Rodesch closed it out in three sets, 6–4 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Rodesch C.Ivashka I.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rodesch C.Ivashka I.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
52
33
Break points saved·Even
87
87
Break points won·Dominant
5
54
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
30
Tiebreaks·Dominant
74
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Rodesch C.77%
Ivashka I.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Rodesch C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rodesch C.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ivashka I.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+114 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1509
6.0Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.29 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rodesch C.Ivashka I.
Freshness·
—
98

Ivashka I.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw