Aleksandar Vukic vs August HolmgrenGranby Semi-final

Granby · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#99ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT CENTRAL · 1st on
#226ATP
1566ELO
1517Hard ELO
$132kYTD
$648kCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLWL
Vukic A.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Holmgren A.
Vukic A.
6362
Holmgren A.
4631

Aleksandar Vukic defeated August Holmgren in the semifinals of the Granby tournament, advancing with a 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 victory on hard courts. Vukic and Holmgren hit the same number of aces, 9, but Vukic did not commit a double fault while Holmgren had 9. Vukic won 2 service breaks to Holmgren's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
8.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
27
43
Break points saved·Even
90
90
Break points won·Slight edge
7
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
15
46
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Vukic A.57%
Holmgren A.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+81 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1517
5.8Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1566
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
100

Vukic A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Holmgren A.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw