Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Mina Hodzic — Palermo Qualifying Final

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
UKR
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
#417WTA
1244ELO
1222Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
CAMPO 6 · 1st on
GER6
Mina Hodzic
#300WTA
1382ELO
1347Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Kotliar Y.
6-7 6-7
Hodzic M.
Kotliar Y.
60660
Hodzic M.
77782

Mina Hodzic defeated Yelyzaveta Kotliar 7-6, 7-6 in the final of the Palermo clay court tournament. Hodzic served 3 aces and committed 5 double faults, while Kotliar had 0 aces and 9 double faults. Both players converted 33% of break points and won 3 service breaks each.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Kotliar Y.Hodzic M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
51%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.3
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Kotliar Y.13%
Hodzic M.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Hodzic M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kotliar Y.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Hodzic M.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1222
Surface ELO
6.6+125 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1244
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1382
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.73 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kotliar Y.Hodzic M.
Freshness·
100
—

Kotliar Y.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw