Aleksandar Vukic vs Arthur Gea — Granby Final

Granby · CHALLENGER · Final
Aleksandar Vukic
AUS1
Aleksandar Vukic
#99ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT CENTRAL · 2nd on
FRA2
Arthur Gea
#85ATP
1597ELO
1610Hard ELO
$359kYTD
$611kCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
Vukic A.
6-4 1-6 6-1
Gea A.
Vukic A.
6162
Gea A.
4611

Aleksandar Vukic won the final of the Granby hard-court tournament, defeating Arthur Gea 6-4, 1-6, 6-1. Vukic hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, while Gea had 4 aces and 2 double faults. Vukic converted 50% of his break points and won 3 service breaks to Gea's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Aleksandar Vukic came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 1–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Vukic A.Gea A.
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
66%
Aces / match·Even
5.7
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Vukic A.Gea A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
27
38
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
81
Break points won·Clear edge
7
27
Deciding sets·Slight edge
15
26
Tiebreaks·Even
89
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Vukic A.35%
Gea A.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gea A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vukic A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Gea A.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1597
Surface ELO
5.2+12 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1596
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Vukic A.Gea A.
Freshness·Clear edge
84
100

Vukic A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Gea A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw