Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael CollignonGstaad Final

Gstaad · ATP · Final
#49ATP
1833ELO
1841Clay ELO
$1000kYTD
$38MCAREER
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 1st on
#38ATP
1894ELO
1813Clay ELO
$642kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLLL
Tsitsipas S.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Collignon R.
Tsitsipas S.
66362
Collignon R.
47731

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Raphael Collignon in the final of the Gstaad clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 in favor of Tsitsipas. Tsitsipas served four aces and did not commit a double fault, while Collignon served two aces and committed four double faults.

Around the match

  • Collignon mounted a dramatic comeback from a set-and-break down in the semifinal, raising questions about whether the emotional and physical toll will affect his final performance on Sunday.

  • Collignon reaches his first ATP main tour final in dramatic fashion, saving a match point and mounting an improbable comeback from 5-2 down against Cerundolo.

  • I would like to start by mentioning how amazing the final was today. It's been a long time so it does mean a lot to me.

    Tsitsipas S.Flashscore.com
  • It's a crazy feeling right now. I survived a marathon, and it was a long week. I've dealt with some pain in the past couple of days and had to withstand a lot of different things.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
61%
Aces / match·Even
7.0
7.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
90
Break points won·Clear edge
71
55
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
80
Tiebreaks·Even
96
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Tsitsipas S.45%
Collignon R.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+28 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1813
4.2Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1894
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.57 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.77 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
85
95

Tsitsipas S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Collignon R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw