Federico Cina vs Lorenzo Giustino — Kitzbuhel Qualifying Final

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Qualifying Final
ITA4
Federico Cina
#174ATP
1630ELO
1590Clay ELO
$296kYTD
$536kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
GRANDSTAND KÜCHENMEISTER · 1st on
Lorenzo Giustino
ITA6
Lorenzo Giustino
#195ATP
1420ELO
1355Clay ELO
$101kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWLLW
Cina F.
6-4 6-2
Giustino L.
Cina F.
662
Giustino L.
420

Federico Cina won the Kitzbuhel final, defeating Lorenzo Giustino 6-4, 6-2. Cina converted 50% of his break points and secured five service breaks, compared to Giustino's two. Cina served 71% of his first serves in, while Giustino served 54%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Cina F.Giustino L.
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cina F.Giustino L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
0
Break points saved·Dominant
87
32
Break points won·Clear edge
32
9
Deciding sets·Dominant
52
10
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
28
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Cina F.83%
Giustino L.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Cina F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cina F.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Giustino L.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.9+235 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Clay Elo 1355
7.6Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1420
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cina F.Giustino L.
Freshness·Dominant
91
64

Cina F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Giustino L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
17°CRain
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 84%

Draw