Francesca Jones vs Lucia BronzettiRome Final

Rome · CHALLENGER · Final
#104WTA
1619ELO
1621Clay ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
#116WTA
1622ELO
1605Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWW
Jones F.
6-3 6-1
Bronzetti L.
Jones F.
662
Bronzetti L.
310

Francesca Jones won the Rome final, defeating Lucia Bronzetti 6-3, 6-1. Jones served 3 aces and committed 2 double faults, while converting 67% of her break points and winning 71% of her first-serve points. Jones broke Bronzetti's serve 4 times and did not drop her own serve.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
76
18
Break points saved·Dominant
80
17
Break points won·Clear edge
96
73
Deciding sets·Dominant
70
25
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Jones F.52%
Bronzetti L.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+16 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1605
5.0Overall Elo 1619
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1622
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Jones F.: 19 days rest · Bronzetti L.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw