Ekaterina Yashina vs Mona BarthelHamburg Qualifying Semi-final

Hamburg · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#516WTA
1155ELO
1133Clay ELO
33 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#208WTA
1551ELO
1500Clay ELO
36 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWL
Yashina E.
6-2 1-6 1-6
Barthel M.
Yashina E.
6111
Barthel M.
2662

Mona Barthel defeated Ekaterina Yashina in the Hamburg semifinals, coming back from a set down to win 2-6, 6-1, 6-1. Barthel hit 4 aces and 10 double faults, winning 77 percent of her first serves and converting 50 percent of her break points. She earned 6 service breaks to Yashina's 3.

Around the match

  • 36-year-old German veteran staged a spectacular comeback from 2–6 down to beat Yashina 6–1, 6–1 and now chases main draw return at her home tournament.

    Barthel M.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-19

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
7.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Yashina E.11%
Barthel M.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Barthel M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.4Clay Elo 1132
Surface ELO
9.6+368 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1155
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1551
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.32 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Barthel M.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw