Julia Avdeeva vs Jule NiemeierHamburg Qualifying Semi-final

Hamburg · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#191WTA
1515ELO
1478Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#405WTA
1418ELO
1398Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWL
Avdeeva J.
5-7 6-2 4-6
Niemeier J.
Avdeeva J.
5641
Niemeier J.
7262

Jule Niemeier defeated Julia Avdeeva 7-5, 2-6, 6-4 in the Hamburg semifinals. The match saw Niemeier hit 4 aces and 19 double faults, while Avdeeva had 3 aces and 10 double faults. Both players converted 38% and 46% of break points respectively and each secured 6 service breaks.

Around the match

  • I'm very pleased that I get to compete here in Hamburg. It's a great honour for me. I have very good memories from last year when I came through qualifying into a WTA main draw for the first time. I felt comfortable on the facility from day one and the organisation here is quite extraordinary.

    Avdeeva J.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-17

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Jule Niemeier closed it out in three sets, 7–5 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-02W100 Wiesbaden 1R16clayJule Niemeier7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
38%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
50%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Clear edge
61%
48%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.6
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
10.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Avdeeva J.75%
Niemeier J.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Avdeeva J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+80 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1398
6.2Overall Elo 1514
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1418
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Avdeeva J.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
17°CShowers
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw