Anastasia Zakharova vs Hanne VandewinkelIstanbul 2 Semi-final

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#91WTA
1742ELO
1714Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
hard
#82WTA
1690ELO
1730Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Zakharova A.
3-6 3-6
Vandewinkel H.
Zakharova A.
330
Vandewinkel H.
662

Hanne Vandewinkel defeated Anastasia Zakharova in the semifinals of the Istanbul 2 tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3 on hard courts. Vandewinkel hit 5 aces to Zakharova's 0 and converted 45% of her break points compared to Zakharova's 33%. Vandewinkel won 5 service breaks to Zakharova's 2.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-09W100 Landisville, PaFhardHanne Vandewinkel3-6 6-3 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.7
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
47
70
Break points won·Even
87
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
67
93
Tiebreaks·
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Zakharova A.59%
Vandewinkel H.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zakharova A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1714
Surface ELO
5.2+16 Hard Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1742
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1690
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.09 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
75

Zakharova A.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Vandewinkel H.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw