Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos TsitsipasGstaad Semi-final

Gstaad · ATP · Semi-final
#89ATP
1669ELO
1624Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 2nd on
#49ATP
1833ELO
1841Clay ELO
$1000kYTD
$38MCAREER
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Shevchenko A.
4-6 6-3 3-6
Tsitsipas S.
Shevchenko A.
4631
Tsitsipas S.
6362

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Alexander Shevchenko 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 in the Gstaad semifinals. Tsitsipas and Shevchenko hit an equal number of aces, four each, while Tsitsipas committed two double faults to Shevchenko's three. Tsitsipas converted 22% of break points and won two service breaks to Shevchenko's one.

Around the match

  • It was a great fight against Aleksandr. I think we played an incredible match on both sides. I feel like both of us deserve the victory playing such incredible tennis.

    Tsitsipas S.Tennis Now
  • Extra oxygen; it's difficult out here. The altitude amplifies my game. The altitude helps my weapons a bit more.

    Tsitsipas S.Tennis Now

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-27United CupRRhardAlexander Shevchenko6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Even
64%
68%
Aces / match·Even
6.6
7.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
89
Break points saved·Clear edge
78
99
Break points won·Dominant
27
71
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
98
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Shevchenko A.22%
Tsitsipas S.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tsitsipas S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.3Clay Elo 1624
Surface ELO
7.7+217 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1833
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
8.28 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
77

Shevchenko A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d) · Tsitsipas S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw