Rasheeda Mcadoo vs Isabella ShinikovaPalermo Qualifying Semi-final

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#536WTA
1281ELO
1220Clay ELO
31 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
#345WTA
1346ELO
1250Clay ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWLL
Mcadoo R.
4-6 4-6
Shinikova I.
Mcadoo R.
440
Shinikova I.
662

Isabella Shinikova defeated Rasheeda Mcadoo in the semifinals of the Palermo tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-4. Shinikova hit 5 aces and 6 double faults, while converting 50% of her break points to secure 4 service breaks. Mcadoo had 1 ace and 2 double faults, converting 18% of her break points and securing 2 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Isabella Shinikova edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-06W50 Leipzig 1R32clayRasheeda Mcadoo6-4 7-5
2025-08-04W50+H LeipzigR32clayRasheeda Mcadoo6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
49%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Mcadoo R.24%
Shinikova I.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shinikova I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1220
Surface ELO
5.4+30 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1281
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1346
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
3.54 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw