Federica Urgesi vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar — Palermo Qualifying Semi-final

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
ITA1
Federica Urgesi
#282WTA
1546ELO
1532Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLW
—
Sets
Walkover
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
UKR
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
#417WTA
1244ELO
1222Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
Urgesi F.
vs
Kotliar Y.

Yelyzaveta Kotliar advanced to the final of the Palermo tournament after receiving a walkover in her semifinal match against Federica Urgesi, as Urgesi withdrew before the match. As a result, Kotliar progressed without having to play.

Around the match

  • Urgesi promoted to main draw after Vandromme's withdrawal, will face seeded Elizara Yaneva in round one.

    Urgesi F.palermoladiesopen.it ↗· 2026-07-18

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Urgesi F.Kotliar Y.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
40%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
50%
Break points saved·Even
50%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
0.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Urgesi F.90%
Kotliar Y.10%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Urgesi F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Urgesi F.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Kotliar Y.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.9+310 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Clay Elo 1222
8.8Overall Elo 1546
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1244
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Urgesi F.Kotliar Y.
Freshness·
—
100

Kotliar Y.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw