Tiago Pereira vs Ilya IvashkaPozoblanco Semi-final

Pozoblanco · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#349ATP
1179ELO
1142Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA FABIAN DORADO · 1st on
#374ATP
1538ELO
1509Hard ELO
32 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWWW
Pereira T.
6-7 6-2 6-7
Ivashka I.
Pereira T.
656671
Ivashka I.
772792

Ilya Ivashka defeated Tiago Pereira in the semifinals of the Pozoblanco tournament, winning 7-6, 2-6, 7-6. Ivashka converted 30% of his break points, while Pereira converted 42%, but Ivashka secured 3 service breaks to Pereira's 5. Ivashka hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, compared to Pereira's 4 aces and 2 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Ilya Ivashka closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Pereira T.12%
Ivashka I.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ivashka I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
0.4Hard Elo 1142
Surface ELO
9.6+367 Hard Elo edge
0.5Overall Elo 1179
ELO gap
9.5Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.19 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Pereira T.: 15 days rest · Ivashka I.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
35°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 20%

Draw