Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo VillanuevaCordenons Semi-final

Cordenons · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#176ATP
1581ELO
1564Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
SERENA MANIVA CENTER · 2nd on
#322ATP
1361ELO
1350Clay ELO
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLWWW
Alcala Gurri M.
4-6 7-5 6-2
Villanueva G.
Alcala Gurri M.
4762
Villanueva G.
6521

Max Alcala Gurri defeated Gonzalo Villanueva in the semifinals of the Cordenons tournament on clay, 4-6, 7-5, 6-2. Alcala Gurri and Villanueva recorded no aces and three aces, respectively, and committed three and two double faults. Alcala Gurri converted 46% of break points and broke Villanueva's serve six times, compared to Villanueva's four service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
53%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.0
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Alcala Gurri M.89%
Villanueva G.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Alcala Gurri M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.7+214 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Clay Elo 1350
7.8Overall Elo 1580
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1360
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Alcala Gurri M.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw