Edas Butvilas vs Clement Tabur — Estoril Qualifying Semi-final

Estoril · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
LTU
Edas Butvilas
#204ATP
1544ELO
1501Clay ELO
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 3 · 1st on
Clement Tabur
FRA8
Clement Tabur
#163ATP
1607ELO
1553Clay ELO
$202kYTD
$642kCAREER
26 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLWW
Butvilas E.
6-1 6-7 4-6
Tabur C.
Butvilas E.
66541
Tabur C.
17762

Clement Tabur defeated Edas Butvilas in the Estoril semifinals, coming back from a set down to win 1-6, 7-6, 6-4. Tabur converted 67% of his break points, while Butvilas converted 50%. The two players had similar numbers of aces, double faults, and first-serve win percentages.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Butvilas E.Tabur C.
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.2
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Butvilas E.Tabur C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
21
29
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
74
Break points won·Clear edge
4
23
Deciding sets·Clear edge
15
33
Tiebreaks·Even
43
40

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Butvilas E.45%
Tabur C.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Butvilas E.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Tabur C.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1501
Surface ELO
5.7+52 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1544
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1607
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Butvilas E.Tabur C.
Freshness·
76
—

Butvilas E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw