Paula Badosa vs Tamara ZidansekIasi Semi-final

Iasi · WTA · Semi-final
#84WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
#151WTA
1655ELO
1639Clay ELO
28 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLW
Badosa P.
3-6 7-5 7-6
Zidansek T.
Badosa P.
37772
Zidansek T.
65611

Paula Badosa defeated Tamara Zidansek in the semifinals of the Iasi tournament on clay, 3-6, 7-5, 7-6. Badosa hit 3 aces and 10 double faults, winning 61 percent of her first serves and converting 33 percent of break points. Zidansek had 7 double faults, won 54 percent of her first serves, and converted 89 percent of break points, with both players earning 8 service breaks.

Around the match

  • Badosa secures return to top 100 and US Open direct entry after defeating Zidansek, showcasing mental resilience and physical durability after a long injury-plagued period.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-05-31Roland GarrosQFclayTamara Zidansek7-5 4-6 8-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.5
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
46
Break points saved·Dominant
84
2
Break points won·Clear edge
95
76
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Badosa P.68%
Zidansek T.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Badosa P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+46 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1639
6.6Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1655
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
8.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on clay
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
32°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw