Taro Daniel vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Estoril Qualifying Semi-final

Estoril · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
Taro Daniel
JPN
Taro Daniel
#186ATP
1567ELO
1542Clay ELO
$64kYTD
$5.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 2 · 1st on
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
BOL6
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
#154ATP
1576ELO
1554Clay ELO
$166kYTD
$323kCAREER
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLLL
Daniel T.
6-4 6-2
Prado Angelo J.
Daniel T.
662
Prado Angelo J.
420

Taro Daniel defeated Juan Carlos Prado Angelo in the semifinals of the Estoril tournament, winning 6-4, 6-2 on clay. Daniel converted 57% of his break points and secured four service breaks, compared to Prado Angelo's one. Daniel also had an 81% first-serve win percentage, while Prado Angelo had 64%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Daniel T.Prado Angelo J.
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Daniel T.Prado Angelo J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
20
45
Break points saved·Dominant
77
40
Break points won·Even
34
30
Deciding sets·Dominant
8
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
53
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Daniel T.40%
Prado Angelo J.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Prado Angelo J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Daniel T.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Prado Angelo J.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1542
Surface ELO
5.1+12 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1576
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.38 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Daniel T.Prado Angelo J.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Prado Angelo J.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw