Hanne Vandewinkel vs Harmony Tan — Istanbul 2 Quarter-final

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
BEL3
Hanne Vandewinkel
#82WTA
1690ELO
1730Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
hard
Harmony Tan
FRA
Harmony Tan
#207WTA
1585ELO
1547Hard ELO
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWW
Vandewinkel H.
6-1 1-0
Tan H.
Vandewinkel H.
611
Tan H.
100

Hanne Vandewinkel advanced to the semifinals of the Istanbul 2 quarterfinals after Harmony Tan retired during their match. At the time of Tan's retirement, Vandewinkel led 6-1, 1-0. Vandewinkel converted 50% of her break points and won 79% of her first-serve points en route to the win.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Vandewinkel H.Tan H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Vandewinkel H.Tan H.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
39
Break points saved·Even
70
71
Break points won·Clear edge
91
74
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
23
Tiebreaks·
—
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Vandewinkel H.65%
Tan H.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vandewinkel H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vandewinkel H.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Tan H.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+183 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1547
6.3Overall Elo 1690
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1585
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.99 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Vandewinkel H.Tan H.
Freshness·
72
—

Vandewinkel H.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw