Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic StrickerGstaad Round of 16

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 16
#89ATP
1669ELO
1624Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 1st on
#336ATP
1533ELO
1474Clay ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
Shevchenko A.
7-6 6-2
Stricker D.
Shevchenko A.
7762
Stricker D.
6520

Alexander Shevchenko defeated Dominic Stricker 7-6, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Gstaad tournament on clay. Shevchenko hit 9 aces and 4 double faults, converting 75% of his break points and winning 76% of his first-serve points. Stricker had 5 aces and 2 double faults, converting 12% of his break points and winning 77% of his first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.4
5.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
35
Break points saved·Slight edge
78
68
Break points won·Dominant
27
1
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Shevchenko A.67%
Stricker D.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Shevchenko A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+150 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1474
6.7Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1533
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.64 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
86

Shevchenko A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Stricker D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw