Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos TsitsipasGstaad Quarter-final

Gstaad · ATP · Quarter-final
#28ATP
1780ELO
1713Clay ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 5th on
#49ATP
1833ELO
1841Clay ELO
$1000kYTD
$38MCAREER
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Rinderknech A.
3-6 6-3 3-6
Tsitsipas S.
Rinderknech A.
3631
Tsitsipas S.
6362

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Arthur Rinderknech in the quarterfinals of the Gstaad tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 3-6, 6-3. Tsitsipas hit 6 aces and 5 double faults, while converting 50% of break points and winning 89% of first-serve points. He secured 2 service breaks to Rinderknech's 1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09RotterdamR32hardStefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
69%
Return points won·Even
33%
34%
Break points saved·Even
70%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.6
7.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
45
89
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
2
71
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
24
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Rinderknech A.35%
Tsitsipas S.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tsitsipas S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1712
Surface ELO
6.6+128 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1833
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
73
81

Rinderknech A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d) · Tsitsipas S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw