Stefano Napolitano vs Gonzalo VillanuevaCordenons Quarter-final

Cordenons · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#229ATP
1528ELO
1520Clay ELO
31 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
SERENA MANIVA CENTER · 2nd on
#322ATP
1361ELO
1350Clay ELO
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
Napolitano S.
3-6 6-7
Villanueva G.
Napolitano S.
3620
Villanueva G.
6772

Gonzalo Villanueva defeated Stefano Napolitano in the quarterfinals of the Cordenons tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 7-6. Villanueva hit 7 aces to Napolitano's 2 and converted 75% of his break points, compared to Napolitano's 29%. Villanueva won the match with 3 service breaks to Napolitano's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
8
23
Break points saved·Dominant
45
19
Break points won·Slight edge
36
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
83
Tiebreaks·Even
13
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Napolitano S.78%
Villanueva G.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Napolitano S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+170 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1350
7.1Overall Elo 1528
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1360
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Napolitano S.: played today · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw