Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen ZhengAthens Quarter-final

Athens · WTA · Quarter-final
#26WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
hard
#127WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWLWL
Krejcikova B.
6-4 6-4
Zheng Q.
Krejcikova B.
662
Zheng Q.
440

Barbora Krejcikova defeated Qinwen Zheng 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the Athens hard-court tournament. Krejcikova hit 3 aces and 6 double faults, winning 76% of her first serves and converting 40% of her break points. She converted 4 service breaks to Zheng's 2.

Around the match

  • She is happy with her improved form and expressed her desire to become a more well-rounded player.

  • Zheng reaches her first WTA tour quarter-final in a year, a significant return to form after extended absence from the last eight.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Barbora Krejcikova edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-08WTA FinalsSFhardQinwen Zheng6-3 7-5
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsSFhardQinwen Zheng6-3 7-5
2023-10-09ZhengzhouFhardQinwen Zheng2-6 6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
9.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.4
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
88
Break points saved·Even
83
86
Break points won·Even
94
98
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Krejcikova B.46%
Zheng Q.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1820
Surface ELO
5.2+12 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1874
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1852
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
100

Krejcikova B.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Zheng Q.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw