Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea — Granby Quarter-final

Granby · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

CAN5

Liam Draxl

#216ATP

1592ELO

1565Hard ELO

$201kYTD

$642kCAREER

24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLWWWWWWL

1 — 2

Sets

Friday, 17 July 2026 · 14:00

hard

COURT CENTRAL · 1st on

FRA2

Arthur Gea

#85ATP

1597ELO

1610Hard ELO

$359kYTD

$611kCAREER

21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWWWWLWWWL

Draxl L.

6-7 6-2 0-6

Gea A.

Draxl L.

6⁵601

Gea A.

7⁷262

Arthur Gea defeated Liam Draxl in the quarterfinals of the Granby tournament, winning 7-6, 2-6, 6-0 on hard courts. Gea hit 9 aces to Draxl's 2 and converted 80% of his break points, compared to Draxl's 60%. Gea won 81% of his first-serve points to Draxl's 70%, and secured 4 service breaks to Draxl's 3.

Key context

Match story: Arthur Gea handed Liam Draxl a third-set bagel in a 7–6 2–6 6–0 win.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Draxl L.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gea A.

Gea A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Draxl L.

Serve advantage — Gea A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draxl L.Gea A.

Serve

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Draxl L.Gea A.

1st serve in·Slight edge

64%

58%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

68%

75%

2nd serve points won·Even

47%

51%

Service points won·Slight edge

60%

65%

Return points won·Even

40%

39%

Break points saved·Slight edge

56%

66%

Aces / match·Clear edge

4.6

6.1

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.8

3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Draxl L.Gea A.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Slight edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Slight edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC

Draxl L.40%

Gea A.60%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gea A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Draxl L.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Gea A.

7.1

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.4Hard Elo 1565

Surface ELO

5.6+44 Hard Elo edge

4.9Overall Elo 1592

ELO gap

5.1Overall Elo 1596

3.0Trails 0–1 on hard

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on hard

7.68 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

8.18 of last 10 on hard

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Draxl L.Gea A.

Freshness·Slight edge

100

Draxl L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Gea A.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather

22°CClear

Wind 13 km/hHumidity 49%

Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea — Granby Quarter-final

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard