Raphael Collignon vs Valentin VacherotGstaad Quarter-final

Gstaad · ATP · Quarter-final
#38ATP
1894ELO
1813Clay ELO
$642kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 1st on
#19ATP
1903ELO
1789Clay ELO
$1.0MYTD
$3.5MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWWW
Collignon R.
7-6 4-6 7-5
Vacherot V.
Collignon R.
79472
Vacherot V.
67651

Raphael Collignon advanced to the semifinals of the Gstaad tournament, defeating Valentin Vacherot in a quarterfinal match. The match was decided in three sets, with Collignon winning 7-6, 4-6, 7-5. Both players recorded identical break point conversion and service break statistics, and their other key stats were nearly even.

Around the match

  • Vacherot marks successful return from injury with victory over Hanfmann in second round.

    Vacherot V.ATP Tour
  • Enjoying an encouraging return from injury with growing confidence and sharp ball-striking throughout the week.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-23M15 Monastir 2FhardValentin Vacherot6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
10.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
73
69
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Clear edge
55
33
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Collignon R.54%
Vacherot V.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+24 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1789
4.9Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1903
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
89

Collignon R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Vacherot V.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw