Marina Bassols Ribera vs Maria Lourdes CarleKitzbuhel Quarter-final

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#134WTA
1610ELO
1593Clay ELO
26 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
#222WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
Bassols Ribera M.
6-2 6-1
Lourdes Carle M.
Bassols Ribera M.
662
Lourdes Carle M.
210

Marina Bassols Ribera defeated Maria Lourdes Carle in the quarterfinals of the Kitzbuhel tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 6-1 in favor of Bassols Ribera.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-02-24W25 Santo DomingoR16hardMarina Bassols Ribera7-6(5) 6-0
2021-06-04W25 Santo DomingoQFhardMaria Lourdes Carle7-6(7) 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
48%
49%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
27
27
Break points saved·Even
27
26
Break points won·Slight edge
89
97
Deciding sets·Even
58
56
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
13
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Bassols Ribera M.74%
Lourdes Carle M.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bassols Ribera M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.6+131 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1461
6.6Overall Elo 1610
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1484
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Bassols Ribera M.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw