Deborah Chiesa vs Lucia BronzettiRome Quarter-final

Rome · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#330WTA
1449ELO
1460Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
#116WTA
1622ELO
1605Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Chiesa D.
6-2 3-6 2-6
Bronzetti L.
Chiesa D.
6321
Bronzetti L.
2662

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Deborah Chiesa in the Rome quarterfinals, coming back from a set down to win 2-6, 6-3, 6-2. The match saw Bronzetti and Chiesa tied with four aces each, while Bronzetti committed two double faults to Chiesa's four. Bronzetti won 58% of her first serves and converted 33% of break points, compared to Chiesa's 64% and 50%, respectively.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2015-08-03Tarvisio $10KR16clayDeborah Chiesa6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Chiesa D.22%
Bronzetti L.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bronzetti L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1460
Surface ELO
6.8+145 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1449
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1622
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.57 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Bronzetti L.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw