Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi — Bastad Quarter-final

Bastad · ATP · Quarter-final
Nuno Borges
POR5
Nuno Borges
#47ATP
1769ELO
1726Clay ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
Luciano Darderi
ITA2
Luciano Darderi
#20ATP
1835ELO
1836Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWWL
Borges N.
6-7 4-6
Darderi L.
Borges N.
6940
Darderi L.
71162

Luciano Darderi defeated Nuno Borges in the Bastad quarterfinals, winning 7-6, 6-4 on clay. Darderi hit 5 aces and 2 double faults, while Borges had 7 aces and 0 double faults. Darderi converted 40% of his break points and broke Borges' serve twice, compared to Borges' one service break.

Key context

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-08MontrealR16hardLuciano Darderi6-4 3-6 5-7
2026-06-25MallorcaQFgrassNuno Borges6-7 4-6
2025-01-06AucklandR32hardNuno Borges5-7 6-3 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Borges N.Darderi L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Even
6.4
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Borges N.Darderi L.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
57
67
Break points saved·Even
93
89
Break points won·Even
23
22
Deciding sets·Even
92
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
48
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Borges N.33%
Darderi L.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Darderi L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Borges N.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Darderi L.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1726
Surface ELO
6.4+110 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1769
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1834
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
6.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Borges N.Darderi L.
Freshness·Clear edge
62
82

Borges N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Darderi L.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw