Sumit Nagal vs Federico BondioliCordenons Quarter-final

Cordenons · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#239ATP
1543ELO
1538Clay ELO
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
SERENA MANIVA CENTER · 1st on
#295ATP
1387ELO
1378Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLL
Nagal S.
6-1 5-7 3-6
Bondioli F.
Nagal S.
6531
Bondioli F.
1762

Federico Bondioli defeated Sumit Nagal in the quarterfinals of the Cordenons tournament on clay, winning 1-6, 7-5, 6-3. Bondioli served six aces to Nagal's three and did not commit a double fault, compared to Nagal's three. Both players converted 50% and 43% of break points, respectively, and each won three service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Nagal S.65%
Bondioli F.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Nagal S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+160 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1378
6.9Overall Elo 1543
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1387
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
7.57 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Nagal S.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw